Poultry International - February 2020 - 34

34 ❙ PoultryInternational

6 issues set to shape 2020
poultry feed production
Trade shifts, an ASF-driven protein gap and high consumer demand
point to stable growth for the global poultry sector in the year ahead.
JACKIE ROEMBKE

T

he demand for animal proteins
remains strong worldwide.
According to the United
Nations' Food and Agriculture
Organization (FAO), global
meat prices increased by 4.6%
in November 2019, the largest
monthly rise in more than a decade
and a figure 17% higher than 12
months prior.
Globally, consumer demand
for poultry meat and eggs has
maintained its upward trajectory.
Poultry production grew by 2.2%
in 2019 and preliminary forecasts
point to moderate growth (2%) in
2020, analysts at IEG Vantage Agribusiness Intelligence report.
While experts remain
"cautiously optimistic," several
trends and extraneous factors
may enhance - or complicate
- industry profitability and feed
production in the year ahead.

6 critical issues influencing
global poultry production
Poultry industry stakeholders
weigh in on the 2020 issues feed
manufacturers and nutritionists
should have on their radar.

1

China & African
swine fever (ASF)

In 2019, ASF reduced the
Chinese swine herd by
more than 50% and has doubled the
cost of pork in the world's largest pork
consuming country. Unsurprisingly,
poultry has risen as the substitute to
fill the protein supply gap.
According to Rabobank, China
increased meat imports by double
digits across all species in 2019, with
poultry imports up by 51% (Jan-Sep
YOY), predicting expanded import
growth moving forward.
The recent lift of China's
nearly five-year ban on U.S.
poultry imports means added
growth and demand for U.S.
producers, in addition to its
already strong domestic demand.
"ASF has presented an
opportunity for the U.S. market
to grow poultry exports to
affected markets," explains
Greg Tyler, senior vice
president of marketing, USA
Poultry & Egg Export
Council (USAPEEC). United
Soybean Board Vice President of
Meal Strategy Keenan McRoberts

agrees and suggests industry trade
associations and their partners
work together to seize this nearterm opportunity and ensure a
long-term, sustained poultry trade.
Estimates suggest the U.S.
poultry industry's opportunity in
China could be as high as US$1
billion in 2020, but IEG Vantage
is a bit more conservative in its
prediction. "While there is optimism about the export opportunity
in China, that optimism might
be a little bit far fetched," warns
Brian Earnest, commodity market
analyst, IEG Vantage at IHS
Markit's Agribusiness Intelligence.
"[China's] need is immediate, as
preparations are made for Chinese
New Year. China has been aggressive in opening markets and
approving plants and could very
easily decide to block imports at
any time, as they did with pork
from Canada earlier this year."
In the meantime, while still
rebounding from the poultry
disease losses of several years ago,
the Chinese are making significant
investments to expand poultry
production, which has increased by
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Poultry International - February 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Poultry International - February 2020

Poultry International - February 2020
Contents
Editor’s Comment
WATTAgNet.com
Top 11 European poultry producers
The key to successful broiler chick brooding
VIV MEA expanded for 2020 show in Abu Dhabi
Fast food chains ponder impact of plant-based proteins
4 ways to manage biofilm in poultry drinking water
Understanding the entire poultry gut microbiome
FeedStrategy.com launches Animal Feed Formulations Library
5 broiler early nutrition research highlights
6 issues set to shape 2020 poultry feed production
VICTAM Asia a total animal feed and health event
How today’s larger broilers impact processing operations
Products
Marketplace
Advertisers’ Index
Poultry International - February 2020 - Poultry International - February 2020
Poultry International - February 2020 - Cover2
Poultry International - February 2020 - Contents
Poultry International - February 2020 - Editor’s Comment
Poultry International - February 2020 - 3
Poultry International - February 2020 - 4
Poultry International - February 2020 - WATTAgNet.com
Poultry International - February 2020 - Top 11 European poultry producers
Poultry International - February 2020 - 7
Poultry International - February 2020 - 8
Poultry International - February 2020 - 9
Poultry International - February 2020 - The key to successful broiler chick brooding
Poultry International - February 2020 - 11
Poultry International - February 2020 - 12
Poultry International - February 2020 - 13
Poultry International - February 2020 - 14
Poultry International - February 2020 - 15
Poultry International - February 2020 - VIV MEA expanded for 2020 show in Abu Dhabi
Poultry International - February 2020 - 17
Poultry International - February 2020 - Fast food chains ponder impact of plant-based proteins
Poultry International - February 2020 - 19
Poultry International - February 2020 - 4 ways to manage biofilm in poultry drinking water
Poultry International - February 2020 - 21
Poultry International - February 2020 - 22
Poultry International - February 2020 - 23
Poultry International - February 2020 - Understanding the entire poultry gut microbiome
Poultry International - February 2020 - 25
Poultry International - February 2020 - 26
Poultry International - February 2020 - 27
Poultry International - February 2020 - FeedStrategy.com launches Animal Feed Formulations Library
Poultry International - February 2020 - 29
Poultry International - February 2020 - 5 broiler early nutrition research highlights
Poultry International - February 2020 - 31
Poultry International - February 2020 - 32
Poultry International - February 2020 - 33
Poultry International - February 2020 - 6 issues set to shape 2020 poultry feed production
Poultry International - February 2020 - 35
Poultry International - February 2020 - 36
Poultry International - February 2020 - 37
Poultry International - February 2020 - 38
Poultry International - February 2020 - 39
Poultry International - February 2020 - VICTAM Asia a total animal feed and health event
Poultry International - February 2020 - 41
Poultry International - February 2020 - How today’s larger broilers impact processing operations
Poultry International - February 2020 - 43
Poultry International - February 2020 - 44
Poultry International - February 2020 - 45
Poultry International - February 2020 - 46
Poultry International - February 2020 - 47
Poultry International - February 2020 - Products
Poultry International - February 2020 - 49
Poultry International - February 2020 - 50
Poultry International - February 2020 - 51
Poultry International - February 2020 - Advertisers’ Index
Poultry International - February 2020 - Cover3
Poultry International - February 2020 - Cover4
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