Net imports by major broiler
importing countries
4,000
11,000
© Agripicture UK
3,000
Thousand mt
2,000
1,000
9,000
7,000
Thousand mt
5,000
0
’99 ’01 ’03 ’05
China Japan Russia
’07 ’09 ’ 11 ’ 13 ’15 ’ 17 ’19
Hong Kong Saudi Arabia Mexico
World broiler production and trade
Imports are being driven by rising income levels, and also by a less
restrictive environment for international trade.
Steady overall increases are forecast for production and
international trade.
European Union broiler supply and utilization
10,000 800
8,000
Thousand mt
6,000
4,000
2,000
600
400
200
Thousand mt
0
0 -200 ’99 ’01 ’03 ’05 ’07 ’09 ’ 11 ’ 13 ’15 ’ 17 ’19
Production Consumption Net Exports
Higher costs in have made European exports increasingly less
competitive.
Brazilian broiler supply and utilization
14,000
4,000
Thousand mt
0
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
10,000
12,000
0
’99 ’01 ’03 ’05 ’07 ’09 ’ 11 ’ 13 ’15 ’ 17 ’19
Production Consumption Net Exports
3,000
2,000
Thousand mt
1,000
The growth rate for Brazilian production and consumption, as
well as for exports, will slow over the next decade.
have reduced the competitiveness of European producers.
Access
However, it is not simply demand that will affect trade,
changing market access is also playing a part.
FAPRI points out that, under the North American Free
Trade Agreement (NAFTA), Mexico removed its global TRQ
and its prohibitive out-quota rates.
The TRQ was removed in 2008. A safeguard agreement
was reached with the US, whereby a TRQ for chicken leg
quarters is imposed.
The product is duty free, but out-quota is charged
at 98.8% duty. Strong domestic demand in Mexico is
expected to drive up net imports by 2% annually, to reach
577 tmt in 2019.
Taiwan, with its WTO accession, removed its quota
and replaced it with a “tariff-only regime” in 2005. As a
result, imports are projected to increase by 7.3% annually,
reaching 116 tmt by 2019. A shift to differentiated local
breeds, however, will sustain domestic production, which is
forecast to grow by 1.5% each year.
Russia imposes a lower TRQ of 0.78 mmt over the next
decade. Over the period considered by FAPRI, the quota for
imports is binding. Domestic production is being encouraged
by the government and is expected to grow by 3%, higher
than the predicted 1.7% increase in consumption. ◻
