Poultry International - July 2019 - 8

8 ❙ PoultryInternational
CHINESE CHICKEN MARKET

ASF was first identified by the
Ministry of Agriculture and Rural
Affairs in Liaoning Province in
August 2018, and up to April this
year, more than 1 million pigs had
been slaughtered in an attempt to
bring the disease under control.

14,000

13,561
,
13,500
13,000

12,000

11,600

11,500
11,000

2015

2016

2017

2018

Years
*excludes paws
Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service

After contracting in 2017, China's production of chicken meat
expanded last year and output is forecast to significantly rise this year.
Statistics, total meat production
over the first two months of the year
fell by 17.3%, in comparison with
January and February 2018.
Estimates vary, and become
out of date almost as soon as they
are made, however, China's pork
production has been forecast to
contract 10-20% this year, while that
of poultry meat will build on the
small recovery seen last year and
continue strengthening.

View our continuing coverage of the
African swine fever outbreak:
www.WATTAgNet.com/topics/7055
Some reports suggest a shortage
of available meat while others a glut
as farmers have rushed to offload
stock. According to data from
the country's Bureau of National

11,700

Ahmet Naim | BigStock.com

12,448

12,500

Unsurprisingly, this shift in
production is translating into changing
patterns of demand for feed, with
sales of pig feeds falling while those
of poultry feed are on the rise.

Tyrannosaurus | Bigstock.com

Tortuous route to recovery

China's chicken meat production 2015-18

000 metric tons*

could have predicted the surge in
prices that occurred late last year in
response to swine sector's difficulties, with live broiler prices reaching
levels not seen since 2011. This
strong upturn meant that, for 2018 as
a whole, China's chicken production
rose slightly.
While prices may have fallen back
somewhat now, demand for chicken
meat in the country remains strong
- per capita consumption is forecast
to increase by 9% this year - far
outstripping what the local industry is
able to produce, and providing a positive outlook for local producers and
overseas suppliers selling into China.
Forecasts from Rabobank suggest total
local poultry production will be 5%
higher this year, with output becoming
stronger as the year progresses.

Despite positives on the demand
side, the Chinese poultry industry
has been hampered by difficulties of
supply, although these are now being
increasingly overcome as the year
progresses.
Not only had flocks been culled
to control avian influenza, but
outbreaks of the disease overseas
led to China halting imports of new
genetics from most of its suppliers.
Those remaining sources were
unable to make up the shortfall.
This lack of new supply has been
described as being the "greatest
obstacle" in the local industry
responding to the opportunities that
the ASF outbreaks have presented.
Since 2015, there have been no
imports of breeding stock from the
U.S., which had been China's main
supplier, and similar bans were placed
on most other genetics suppliers.
www.WATTAgNet.com ❙ July 2019


http://www.BigStock.com http://www.Bigstock.com http://www.WATTAgNet.com/topics/7055 http://www.WATTAgNet.com

Poultry International - July 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Poultry International - July 2019

Poultry International - July 2019
Contents
Editor’s Comment
News
How the Chinese chicken market is responding to ASF
Asia’s poultry producers must adapt to changing demands
Production issues featured at Turkish poultry conference
Farming the chicken of the future – in a really smart way
Identifying biomarkers for poultry intestinal health
How to keep broilers cool during transport to processing
Products
Marketplace
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT1
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT2
Poultry International - July 2019 - Poultry International - July 2019
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover2
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT3
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT4
Poultry International - July 2019 - Contents
Poultry International - July 2019 - Editor’s Comment
Poultry International - July 2019 - 3
Poultry International - July 2019 - News
Poultry International - July 2019 - 5
Poultry International - July 2019 - How the Chinese chicken market is responding to ASF
Poultry International - July 2019 - 7
Poultry International - July 2019 - 8
Poultry International - July 2019 - 9
Poultry International - July 2019 - 10
Poultry International - July 2019 - 11
Poultry International - July 2019 - Asia’s poultry producers must adapt to changing demands
Poultry International - July 2019 - 13
Poultry International - July 2019 - 14
Poultry International - July 2019 - 15
Poultry International - July 2019 - Production issues featured at Turkish poultry conference
Poultry International - July 2019 - 17
Poultry International - July 2019 - 18
Poultry International - July 2019 - 19
Poultry International - July 2019 - 20
Poultry International - July 2019 - 21
Poultry International - July 2019 - 22
Poultry International - July 2019 - 23
Poultry International - July 2019 - Farming the chicken of the future – in a really smart way
Poultry International - July 2019 - 25
Poultry International - July 2019 - Identifying biomarkers for poultry intestinal health
Poultry International - July 2019 - 27
Poultry International - July 2019 - 28
Poultry International - July 2019 - 29
Poultry International - July 2019 - 30
Poultry International - July 2019 - 31
Poultry International - July 2019 - How to keep broilers cool during transport to processing
Poultry International - July 2019 - 33
Poultry International - July 2019 - 34
Poultry International - July 2019 - 35
Poultry International - July 2019 - 36
Poultry International - July 2019 - 37
Poultry International - July 2019 - Products
Poultry International - July 2019 - 39
Poultry International - July 2019 - Marketplace
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover3
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover4
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