Poultry International - July 2019 - 10

10 ❙ PoultryInternational
CHINESE CHICKEN MARKET

China's chicken meat imports 2015-18
500
450

430

400

342

350
300

311
serts | iStockPhoto.com

000 metric tons*

Gradually, however, with the exception of the U.S., countries that had been
suppliers of genetics or meat to the
country, but that had been excluded due
to disease issues, have regained access
to the Chinese market.
For example, Poland, which
gained access to the Chinese market
in 2012, found itself shut out in 2016.
Recognized as disease free in late 2017,
it again started supply China late last
year. In March 2019, France, which
had only been a small supplier of meat
to the country but a more important
supplier of genetics, also regained
access to the Chinese market.
The country's breeding stock
may now have been replenished, but
it will take time for more production to come on stream. Producer
prices, consequently, are expected to
remain strong.
Where yellow-feather birds are
concerned, there is no dependency
on imported genetics, and while
there is little room for expansion
in the south of the country, yellowfeather production is through to be
growing significantly in the north.
Nobody can predict how long it will
take for China's pig industry to bring its
difficulties under control and rebuild,
but it will not happen quickly, meaning
the outlook for alternative meats is now
particularly healthy and is expected to
remain so for years to come.
As the country rebuilds its flocks,
it can expect not only strong consumer
demand but beneficial feed prices,
putting it in a particularly favorable
position. It is little surprise, therefore,

268

250
200

2015

2016

Years

2017

2018

*excludes paws
Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service

The small rise in China's chicken meat imports in 2018 will be dwarfed
by growth in chicken meat sourced from overseas in 2019 as pork
continues to be rejected.
that larger integrated poultry companies in particular are said to be
investing in additional capacity.

Opportunities for imports
Alongside the recovering local
industry, China is now sourcing more
meat from overseas. Again, estimates
of how much will be imported this
year vary enormously. In February,
it was estimated that 2019's poultry
meat imports would be 20%, perhaps
even 30%, higher than those of 2018.
By April, some forecasters predicted
an increase of 70%.
This surge in demand is expected
to benefit several countries. In
March 2018, the first shipment of
frozen chicken was sourced from
Thailand, which was excluded from
the Chinese market since 2004, but
it is Brazil that is expected to be

the biggest beneficiary. Poland and
France have also already regained
access, Russia and Ukraine are also
expected to benefit, and Chinese
authorities are reported to be
visiting processing plants in several
countries looking to widen possible
sources of chicken meat.
Brazil has been the largest
supplier the country, yet the relationship between the two countries
has not been without its difficulties:
China accused Brazil of dumping
and harming local producers, a
claim Brazil vigorously denies. Yet
despite this difficulty, at the start of
the year, the two countries reached a
price undertaking and, in February,
for example, China sourced 11%
more meat from Brazil, making
China Brazil's largest export market,
overtaking Saudi Arabia. ■
www.WATTAgNet.com ❙ July 2019


http://www.iStockPhoto.com http://www.WATTAgNet.com

Poultry International - July 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Poultry International - July 2019

Poultry International - July 2019
Contents
Editor’s Comment
News
How the Chinese chicken market is responding to ASF
Asia’s poultry producers must adapt to changing demands
Production issues featured at Turkish poultry conference
Farming the chicken of the future – in a really smart way
Identifying biomarkers for poultry intestinal health
How to keep broilers cool during transport to processing
Products
Marketplace
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT1
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT2
Poultry International - July 2019 - Poultry International - July 2019
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover2
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT3
Poultry International - July 2019 - CT4
Poultry International - July 2019 - Contents
Poultry International - July 2019 - Editor’s Comment
Poultry International - July 2019 - 3
Poultry International - July 2019 - News
Poultry International - July 2019 - 5
Poultry International - July 2019 - How the Chinese chicken market is responding to ASF
Poultry International - July 2019 - 7
Poultry International - July 2019 - 8
Poultry International - July 2019 - 9
Poultry International - July 2019 - 10
Poultry International - July 2019 - 11
Poultry International - July 2019 - Asia’s poultry producers must adapt to changing demands
Poultry International - July 2019 - 13
Poultry International - July 2019 - 14
Poultry International - July 2019 - 15
Poultry International - July 2019 - Production issues featured at Turkish poultry conference
Poultry International - July 2019 - 17
Poultry International - July 2019 - 18
Poultry International - July 2019 - 19
Poultry International - July 2019 - 20
Poultry International - July 2019 - 21
Poultry International - July 2019 - 22
Poultry International - July 2019 - 23
Poultry International - July 2019 - Farming the chicken of the future – in a really smart way
Poultry International - July 2019 - 25
Poultry International - July 2019 - Identifying biomarkers for poultry intestinal health
Poultry International - July 2019 - 27
Poultry International - July 2019 - 28
Poultry International - July 2019 - 29
Poultry International - July 2019 - 30
Poultry International - July 2019 - 31
Poultry International - July 2019 - How to keep broilers cool during transport to processing
Poultry International - July 2019 - 33
Poultry International - July 2019 - 34
Poultry International - July 2019 - 35
Poultry International - July 2019 - 36
Poultry International - July 2019 - 37
Poultry International - July 2019 - Products
Poultry International - July 2019 - 39
Poultry International - July 2019 - Marketplace
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover3
Poultry International - July 2019 - Cover4
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